Alex1111 wrote:Arnie thanks for emphasising what I've already established and that is that Chocs is a hypocrite.
Why do u say do not buy now?Most reports say oversupply will occur around 2011/2012 but who knows.No-one can predict how many people will move to dubai in the next few years so who can say when oversupply will occur.
I think to invest in dubai is for the long term.If u are able to ride out the inevitable price corrections then on the other side u should be ok.
Dubai needs to work hard to encourage businesses to open up there.
The fact that Business Bay is still a baby doesnt help yet when finished thousands will work there.
I think in 5 years when the metro is almost finished,alot of the construction in Dubai centre is finished,and many of the wonderful projects are opened then people will flock there.For now alot are put off by the mess.
Alex most of my opinions are posted in the other thread here in Accom. Basically though you have answered your own question. Oversupply will start to take effect if the published completion figures are correct starting in 2010. Anyone buying "off plan" now will hit the market 2010/11.
It is generally agreed the market is currently over inflated by 20%. This figure can only increase in the short term whilst everyone is trying to get on the bandwagon.
To be frank there maybe money to be made, there may not. The question you have to ask yourself is can i afford to wipe 20-30% from my investment. Its a gamble ... thats it.
I was buying stuff when they were selling 1 beds in JBR @ 500k dirhams. Then it was not so much as a risk as it is now. Also i dont have to borrow the money, so i was gamblimg with my own funds. Also dont forget then Emaar and the others were only asking 30% deposit the balance on completion. So i was only gamling with around 200k.
Its no different to a casino. If you cant afford to loose it, dont gamble it.
When i f.u.c.k up i admit it and my biggest one was not buying off plan in Arabian Ranches when they were offering 4 bed plus maids for just over 1 million Dhs. Its easier to kick yourself and say "i wish" without losing a dirham, than believe you are going to make millions and end up losing bucket loads of cash.
Ask any Brit who bought in Florida or Spain 2 years ago, how happy they are with their investment. Thats if the have not already slashed their wrists.