Fundamental Analysis August 7

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Fundamental Analysis August 7 Aug 07, 2014
EUR/USD kept on decliing exchanging at 1.3369 after German production line requests missed desires. The euro slipped to a nine-month low on Wednesday, broadening its misfortunes after information demonstrated a sharp drop in German mechanical requests, while the New Zealand dollar took a hit after a fall in dairy costs. A Singapore-based dealer said financial specialist hazard revultion on worries about the strains in Ukraine served to reinforce the dollar extensively, and weighed on the euro.

GBP/USD eased 44 points to trade at 1.6842 after industrial and manufacturing production missed expectations following a drop in PMI last week. Businesses and taking on more staff, but a strong sterling is hurting exports. The Confederation of British Industry (CBI), the UK’s largest business lobbyist, said in its monthly SME manufacturing survey for July that 31% of firms reported output increasing, while 16% said that it decreased, giving a balance of +15%.

AUD/USD took a major fall after the release of unemployment numbers this morning tumbling to 0.9285 down 69 points when just last month traders were hoping to see the currency break 95. The unemployment rate has surged to a 12-year high in July as the number of Australians in jobs went backwards, adding to political pressure on the government.

USD/JPY tumbled on Wednesday to trade at 102.12 and recovered 7 points this morning to reach 102.19 after the greenback lost a bit of its momentum. US data remained positive with the trade balance narrowing well below forecasts as exports skyrocketed again this month. The Bank of Japan (BoJ) looks set to bring no major surprises at its policy meeting this week, but the market will be keeping an ear out for any changes in Governor Haruhiko Kuroda’s optimistic stance on the economy.

Gold was steady after climbing in the Asian session adding $6.50 to trade at 1291.80. Gold edged up slightly and could benefit from a bout of market risk aversion as fears of increasing military action along the Ukraine border put global equities under pressure. Geopolitical tensions in Ukraine and the Middle East have largely been responsible for gold’s 7 percent gain this year. Gold, often seen as alternative investment to riskier assets such as equities, could gain if stocks fall further.

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